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Quick Facts
- Bitcoin’s cycle top predicted in $125K to $150K range
Analysis
Bitcoin Trader Sees Potential Cycle Top in $125K to $150K Range Provided Certain Conditions Are Met
The world of cryptocurrency is abuzz with excitement as Bitcoin (BTC) continues to reach new heights. The latest prediction from veteran trader Peter Brandt has sent shockwaves through the market, with many analysts and investors taking notice of the potential for a parabolic price increase.
The Parabolic Arc Pattern
Brandt’s prediction is based on a fundamental analysis of Bitcoin’s price chart, which shows a clear parabolic arc pattern. This technical formation is often associated with rapid price increases followed by sharp corrections. In the context of Bitcoin, this pattern would suggest a potential rally to $125,000 to $150,000 by August or September 2025, a 50% increase from current prices.
Reclaiming the Broken Parabolic Slope
To achieve this target, Brandt notes that Bitcoin must reclaim its broken parabolic slope. A parabolic arc is formed when a market’s price increases exponentially, often driven by a rapid influx of new investors. In the event of a parabolic breakout, the market’s resistance level becomes its new support, and the price continues to rise until it reaches its maximum potential.
On-Chain Analysis
From an on-chain perspective, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. has observed that the market is on the cusp of a “start” rally zone. Adler’s analysis highlights three potential scenarios, including an optimistic (bull) case that outlines a price target above $150,000. According to Adler, if the Ratio breaks through 1.0 and holds above it, the NUPL/MVRV metrics will show a new impulse, and the price could reach $150-175,000, repeating the cycle logic of 2017 and 2021.
The Role of Short-Term Holders
One of the key factors that will influence the next rally is the behavior of short-term holders. These investors have been known to drive market sentiment and spark corrections. If short-term holders continue to hold their positions or even increase them, it could fuel the rally and push prices higher. However, if they begin to sell, it could lead to a correction, potentially pulling the market back down.
Consolidation and the Baseline Scenario
In the event that new capital inflows remain limited and existing investors do not increase their positions, the price of Bitcoin may consolidate within a range of $90,000 to $110,000. This baseline scenario is characterized by a lack of upward momentum, which could lead to a sideways trend for an extended period.
The Bearish Case
A bearish scenario could unfold if further profit-taking from short-term holders takes place, leading to a correction down to $85,000-$70,000. This scenario is predicated on a sudden influx of selling pressure, which would reverse the current upward trend.
Breaking Out of Resistance
As of now, Bitcoin is breaking out of its existing resistance range, with a significant volume cluster between $96,000 and $99,000 indicating a phase of consolidation before the market can test the $100,000 mark. This breakout pattern is consistent with the market’s behavior over the past two weeks, where it surged 13% before entering sideways consolidation.
Disclosure
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Join the conversation
What do you think about Peter Brandt’s prediction? Do you believe Bitcoin has the potential to reach $150,000 by August or September 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
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